The current setup still appears more constructive than outright bearish in the case of BankNifty. The index is approaching a rising trendline support, while the narrowing trading range suggests volatility compression ahead of a potential breakout move. The key concern remains the lack of participation from heavyweight constituents such as HDFC Bank and SBI, which has limited upside momentum and prevented banking from reclaiming market leadership.
In early Asian trading on Monday, gold prices experienced a modest uptick, buoyed by a weaker dollar and fresh economic statistics. Anticipations for a US interest rate hike in the coming month have notably diminished. Markets now reflect a reduced likelihood of a rate increase in September, allowing non-yielding gold to thrive in this low-interest-rate setting.
Over the weekend, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said Iran had not decided to resume talks with the U.S. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump called on Americans to accept slightly higher gasoline prices while the conflict continues.
Traders use the 200 DMA as a key indicator to determine the overall trend in a particular stock.
The company’s Rs 3,066.89 crore initial public offering (IPO), priced at Rs 871 per share, has been commanding a grey market premium (GMP) of around Rs 264. If the trend holds, the stock could potentially list at close to Rs 1,135 per share—roughly 30% above the issue price. However, investors should note that the grey market is unofficial and GMP levels can change before the actual listing.
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The Rs 939.70 crore IPO was priced at Rs 807 per share and comprised a fresh issue of 25 lakh shares worth Rs 200 crore and an offer for sale (OFS) of 92 lakh shares valued at Rs 739.70 crore.
In the June quarter, Indian companies celebrated remarkable revenue growth, reaching a nine-quarter high. Despite this, profits grew by only eleven percent, largely due to rising input costs. Key sectors such as auto, banking, metals, and pharma played a pivotal role in this expansion. Notably, small and midcap firms showcased impressive earnings per share. Looking ahead, revenue is anticipated to gain momentum from upcoming festivals and premiumization strategies.
The dollar experienced a decline following disappointing US economic indicators, leading to less anticipation for interest rate hikes. Treasury yields dropped universally as retail sales saw a significant downturn. Meanwhile, oil prices reversed their upward trend as traders sought new market signals. In Asia, stock markets showed little variation amid careful monitoring of Middle Eastern affairs, with ongoing geopolitical tensions impacting global investor confidence.
The Nifty index has reached a temporary halt following a robust upward surge, positioning itself at critical support and resistance zones. Analysts are divided in their approaches: some suggest capitalizing on price dips, while others lean towards profiting from price spikes. Notably, the Bank Nifty remains strong, indicating potential for additional growth.
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