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Economists describe a recession as a "substantial downturn in economic activity" lasting several months, typically characterized by a decline in GDP, higher unemployment, and reduced industrial output.

Japan s Nikkei share average increased almost 1% on Monday, boosted by last week s significant gains in U.S. stocks and a U.S. Congressional decision that avoided a government shutdown. Notable gains were seen in semiconductor and defense stocks as investors adjusted their strategies based on improved market sentiment.

Suresh Ganapathy from Macquarie Capital predicts that banks will benefit from falling rates and easing liquidity, with private sector banks being more agile than PSUs. He suggests investing in NBFCs short-term due to immediate gains from rate cuts but advises a shift to banks for long-term growth as the credit cycle stabilizes.

JM Financial maintains a Buy on Varun Beverages with a Rs 675 target, citing strong domestic and international growth drivers. Despite competition from Campa, PepsiCo, and Coca-Cola retain dominance. The company plans Rs 2,000 crore capex for expansion, including Africa.

Mumbai s real estate market is experiencing growth due to infrastructural upgrades, job creation, and aggressive land acquisition in peripheral areas. Redevelopment and greenfield projects are on the rise, driven by improved connectivity and investor confidence bolstered by RERA, despite the additional taxes.

US equity funds are undergoing reversion to the mean. Europe and Japan equity funds are attracting more inflows while the interest in emerging markets persists. Indian valuations are becoming attractive again. China sees cautious inflows with some investments directed towards Hong Kong equity funds. Investors await concrete policy impacts before increasing their investments in China.

Girish Pai from BOB Capital Markets analyzes the IT sector, predicting tepid growth for FY26 due to factors such as dollar interplay, AI adjustment, and fiscal tightening in the US. He highlights the potential impact of tariffs and a looming recession on Indian IT companies, emphasizing cautious optimism for a stronger year in FY27.

Manish Sonthalia sees India’s market near bottom, driven by consumption growth. Rate cuts, rural demand, and commodities offer opportunities, while infrastructure faces valuation concerns. Nifty 50 may reach 24,500-25,000 by early 2026.

The IT sector saw significant decline amid U.S. recession fears, while Nifty showed stability. Investments are advised to shift towards large-cap stocks for stability. Economic conditions remain volatile, affecting global markets differently and requiring careful monitoring.