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Indian equity markets ended February on a subdued note, with Nifty having its worst monthly crash since the pandemic. Smallcap stocks faced significant declines, while 25 out of 30 Sensex stocks delivered negative returns, with 12 experiencing double-digit losses. The IT sector saw the steepest fall amid concerns over a weakening US business environment.

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Wall Street s momentum trade driven by tech, communications, and consumer discretionary sectors is faltering due to concerns over shrinking growth and trade uncertainties. Safe havens like health care and consumer staples are now leading the market as investors pivot defensively amidst the rising economic volatility.

$-Re swap gets strong demand, weakens rupee

Updated at : 2025-03-01 11:25:02

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The Reserve Bank of India s dollar-rupee buy-sell swap saw strong demand but resulted in a lower-than-expected cut-off premium, leading to further rupee depreciation. The $10 billion swap, oversubscribed by $16.23 billion, will reverse in March 2028. Market participants expect continued weakness in the rupee as the RBI focuses on meeting the credit market s rupee liquidity needs.

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The Reserve Bank of India bought bonds worth ₹40,000 crore through open market operations to increase liquidity in the banking system. This brings their total bond purchases in February to ₹80,000 crore. Market participants anticipate further liquidity injections through similar operations or repo auctions. RBI had also made significant bond purchases in January.

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India s foreign exchange reserves surged to a two-month high of $640.5 billion as of February 21, with an increase of nearly $5 billion in a week. The Reserve Bank of India s data showed foreign currency assets, the largest component of reserves, rising by $4.25 billion. This marks a recovery from the reserves dip influenced by market sell-offs earlier.

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In February, trading volumes in the equity and derivatives segments continued to decline, hitting a 15-month low. This decrease is attributed to market volatility and new SEBI regulations designed to curb excessive speculation. The drop in retail trader activity has also impacted the revenue estimates from securities transaction tax (STT).

The Nifty 50 extended its losing streak to eight sessions, falling nearly 16% from its peak. Broader markets saw steeper declines, with small and microcap indices plunging over 25%. Macroeconomic concerns, FII outflows, and valuation resets continue to pressure sentiment.

Investors are closely watching the U.S. jobs report due on March 7, as concerns about economic health rise due to recent disappointing data. The report is crucial to assessing the impact of policies and trade tensions on employment. The market is cautious, seeking balance between growth and inflation, with further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts anticipated.

European shares reached their 10th consecutive weekly gain due to optimism around earnings and geopolitical developments, despite facing volatility from Trump s trade tariff threats. Technology and mining stocks struggled, although a slowdown in US inflation raised hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut. The European Central Bank is also expected to cut rates amid anaemic growth.

US stocks gain in choppy trade, as oil prices drop

Updated at : 2025-03-01 10:20:02

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Wall Street indexes advanced as investors navigated a heated White House meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. Despite initial market sell-off, major US indexes closed higher. Tariff threats and fluctuations in inflation data contributed to a volatile trading session, alongside falling oil and crypto prices.

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