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The global fixed income backdrop is shifting as the US Federal Reserve looks poised to deliver its first rate cut of the current cycle this September. Markets place the odds of a 25 basis point cut at nearly certain levels, with the target fed funds range expected to move from 4.25–4.50% down to 4.00–4.25%.

Indian benchmark indices finally ended their six-week losing spree to end 1% higher every week. A host of important domestic and global events scheduled for the week are likely to impact stock markets when they resume trading on Monday.

Nifty remains range-bound, consolidating below the 24,800–25,000 resistance zone. While the index holds above key moving averages, weak momentum and falling trendline resistance cap upside, leaving the market cautious yet resilient with crucial support at 24,200.

Foreign investors sold Indian equities worth Rs 20,975 crore in August so far, extending FII outflows despite strong DII buying. Analysts say Trump-Putin’s Ukraine “understanding,” easing tariff concerns, and India’s S&P rating upgrade may improve sentiment, though weak earnings growth and elevated valuations continue to weigh on markets.

Nine smallcap stocks gained for five straight sessions even as the Sensex remained flat, highlighting selective strength in the broader market.

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The U.S. “Genius Act” has legitimized stablecoins, fueling debate on whether their $250B market will stabilize Treasuries or trigger systemic risks. Proponents see demand support, while critics fear fraud, volatility, and limited real economic impact.

Vanguard Fund’s India equity portfolio soared 44% in Q2 FY26 to Rs 62,150 crore, driven by strong stock performance. With stakes in 41 firms, 14 delivered double-digit gains, led by Delhivery, Care Ratings, RBL Bank, and CarTrade Tech.

Global equities may open positive as Trump and Putin reached an “understanding” on Ukraine, easing tensions. Meanwhile, PM Modi’s GST reforms promise lower rates, boosting consumption, investor sentiment, and potentially driving Indian equities higher in the festive season.

Berkshire Hathaway’s Q2 13F filing revealed Warren Buffett’s seven big stock moves, including new bets in healthcare and steel, trims in Apple and Bank of America, and a full exit from telecom.

Nifty ended a six-week losing streak with a 1.1% gain, reclaiming 24,600, but still struggling for momentum, says Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities. Bank Nifty remains range-bound, while OI data points to consolidation. Select stocks like Muthoot Finance and Apollo Hospitals show bullish setups.

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