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While Nifty s valuation is becoming somewhat more appealing, it remains below its historical average. A potential market correction is possible, manifesting as either price or time-based adjustments.

Markets have started 2025 on a highly volatile note, and a correction of over 14% from the highs has naturally raised concerns. However, if we step back and analyze market cycles, corrections are a part of the process, especially after a sustained rally.

Valuations had stretched significantly beyond their long-term averages, with much of the optimism driven by expectations of a sustained 20%+ earnings CAGR.

NTPC Green Energy shares will be in focus after its subsidiary, NTPC Renewable Energy, commissioned the final 50 MW of its 105 MW Shajapur Solar Project. The stock has declined 24% YTD and 32% in three months. Q3FY25 profit surged 52.3% YoY, while technical indicators signal weak momentum as it trades below key moving averages.

U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday due to lower-than-expected inflation data easing a selloff. However, gains were limited by Trump s tariff war. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed higher, while the Dow ended modestly lower. Tech stocks led gains. Inflation easing raised hopes for a possible Fed rate cut this year.

Gold prices increased slightly on Thursday due to ongoing tariff uncertainty and lower-than-expected U.S. inflation. This has strengthened expectations of rate cuts. Lower inflation may lead to U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Investors await upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index data for further insights. Other precious metals like silver, platinum, and palladium also rose.

The U.S. dollar saw a slight rebound on Thursday due to a rise in Treasury yields amidst global trade tensions and recession fears. Investors remain cautious about U.S. inflation and economic activity, driven by unpredictable trade policies, with currencies trading in tight ranges and markets experiencing volatility.

U.S. inflation data for February came in below forecasts, alleviating some investor concerns and driving a rebound in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. However, ongoing trade tensions and tariffs imposed by President Trump add economic uncertainty, impacting growth and complicating the Federal Reserve s potential response.