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Global tensions and rising oil prices are causing market swings. Indian markets are correcting, creating chances in power, infrastructure, and auto sectors. Investors should stay disciplined and focus on long-term growth. Foreign investors are selling, while domestic inflows continue. The rupee is weakening, impacting inflation and imports. Crude oil above $100 poses risks but forex reserves offer some buffer.

IndiGo shares will remain in focus after the airline introduced a fuel surcharge on flights amid a sharp rise in aviation turbine fuel prices linked to geopolitical tensions in West Asia. The carrier is also adjusting its flight network and temporarily suspending several routes as it navigates airspace restrictions and higher operating costs.

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A prolonged Iran war and rising oil prices are forcing investors to scrutinize diverse industries beyond traditional energy plays. Supply disruptions are impacting chipmakers, food delivery, and automakers, while higher distribution costs and reduced consumer spending are hitting retailers. Fertilizer producers face increased prices due to shipping bottlenecks.

Oil prices dipped after U.S. President Trump urged global partners to secure the Strait of Hormuz. This vital shipping route faced disruption following U.S.-Iran attacks. The International Energy Agency is releasing oil reserves to counter price surges. U.S. Energy Secretary expects the conflict to end soon, leading to lower energy costs.

Asian markets are cautious as Gulf hostilities keep oil prices high, impacting inflation outlooks and likely leading central banks to pause policy hikes. Hopes for de-escalation emerge with reports of a potential coalition to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz. Policymakers face elevated energy prices and a potential economic slowdown.

Markets experienced a sharp decline on Friday, extending the ongoing corrective phase due to persistent geopolitical tensions. Analysts suggest any recovery will face significant resistance, advising investors to maintain caution and a selective trading approach. Several companies, including Tata Motors PV, Hindalco, and Adani Total Gas, are in focus due to recent news developments.

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The finance ministry is set to direct banks to cap lending rates at 2% above MCLR for microfinance companies under a new credit guarantee scheme. This initiative aims to boost lending to smaller MFIs struggling with funding due to asset quality stress, with the NCGTC providing the guarantee cover.

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Wild oil price swings, triggered by the Iran war, have pushed institutional investors towards exotic hybrid options to navigate cross-market gyrations. Traditional safe havens like bonds and gold have failed to provide protection amid stagflation fears, leading to increased trading in dual binary and contingent options as relationships between assets break down.

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New rupee loan spreads widened year-on-year to 3.01% in January as banks maintained firm borrowing costs to protect margins despite central bank rate cuts. Outstanding loan spreads narrowed due to faster asset-side adjustments and a shift towards lower-yielding segments. Transmission of rate cuts remains uneven, impacting bank margins.

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Markets experienced a sharp decline, with the Nifty losing 1,299.35 points (-5.31%) as selling pressure intensified. The index breached its 100-week moving average, signaling a technically vulnerable phase and a downside bias. Elevated volatility and geopolitical tensions are expected to keep markets cautious.

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