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India VIX cooled on Thursday after a sharp 52% surge in just two sessions triggered by escalating Middle East tensions. Despite the pullback, volatility remains elevated near 19, prompting experts to advise traders to stay cautious, hedge portfolios and avoid aggressive positions until greater clarity emerges on the Iran–Israel–US conflict.

China pledged intensified investment in high-tech industries and scientific innovation to bolster economic resilience amid escalating geopolitical tensions. The nation aims for 4.5%-5% growth, prioritizing innovation-driven development and industrial upgrading while addressing structural challenges and subdued domestic demand.

Crude oil prices are now the key driver for global markets. Emerging market tech stocks are showing early signs of recovery. Gold is approaching a peak. Independent commentator Geoff Dennis believes oil price stability is crucial for broader market gains. Asian markets are showing a tentative bounce. Investors are watching the Middle East situation closely.

L&T shares rose over 2% after four days of losses as hopes of easing Iran-Israel tensions lifted sentiment. However, Motilal Oswal remains cautious, citing the company’s significant Middle East exposure, risks to EPC execution, and potential valuation pressures from AI disruption in its IT subsidiary.

Indian equity markets are experiencing significant volatility after three days of selling. Technical indicators suggest a potential short-term rebound due to extreme oversold conditions, with Nifty possibly testing 24,600-25,000 and Bank Nifty nearing 60,000. Experts advise against panic selling, noting the VIX spike reflects heightened concern but not peak panic yet.

Dalal Street faces another volatile session amid geopolitical tensions, leaving investors questioning whether to buy beaten-down stocks or wait. Dipan Mehta advises patience, suggesting that while attractive valuations exist, the duration of the West Asian crisis is key. He believes opportunities lie in quality midcaps rather than overvalued defence stocks.

Indian billionaire Joy Alukkas, who holds nearly 16,000 kilos of gold across his global Joyalukkas stores, expects prices to keep rising amid geopolitical and economic risks. Despite volatility, he sees no major correction ahead, citing persistent global tensions and strong retail demand for investment bars, coins, and lightweight jewellery.

Indian aviation and travel stocks remain under pressure as the US-Iran conflict enters its sixth day, triggering airspace closures and mass flight cancellations across the Middle East. IndiGo has cancelled over 500 flights, while sector-wide disruptions threaten higher operating costs, weaker bookings and near-term earnings visibility for airlines and online travel platforms.

On March 4, four stocks with a market capitalisation above Rs 10,000 crore closed more than 1.5% below their VWAP levels, signalling emerging bearish pressure. A close below VWAP indicates stocks ended the session under their volume-weighted average price, reflecting rising selling interest and weakening intraday sentiment highlighted by technical scans.

As of March 4, four stocks in the NSE F&O segment witnessed a notable rise in futures open interest, signalling heightened derivatives activity. A sharp increase in open interest reflects fresh positions or expansion of existing bets by traders, pointing to stronger participation and rising conviction around near-term price expectations.